Week 11 Rankings

In my opinion because the college football season is only 12 games and there are so many variables to look at, the rankings can and sometimes should change drastically. If you rank teams the same way I do I think you’ll agree. Unless two teams played head to head you have to examine multiple variables to try and compare teams. You’ll understand what I mean when from my rankings last week, 5 teams dropped out and had to be replaced and teams with 4 losses are no longer considered quality wins. Just because Team A won this week, they may have dropped if a team that was considered a quality win (QW) is no longer a quality win. At the same time a team that may have been underrated can pick up steam and help another team look better than we thought. For example, Alabama beating Florida 31-29 looked really good at the time and if I was ranking teams in week 3 (which is ludicrous) that would have counted as a QW for Alabama. But seeing as UF is now 4-6 they would no longer be considered a QW.

This week Iowa St. (#22), Penn St.(#18), Purdue (#25), Auburn (#19), Minnesota (#24), and Virginia (NR) gained their 4th loss of the year. This knocked them out of the top 35 and made them no longer QWs for the teams that had previously beat them. Reminder that I’m looking at each team’s record, number of QWs (beating teams that are 7-3 or better), number of losses to teams in the Top 35, number of bad losses, Strength of Record (SOR), and Game Control (GC). With that said here is my top 25:

#1 Georgia Bulldogs 10-0

  • 3 QWs (#15 Arkansas, Clemson 7-3, Kentucky 7-3)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 1
  • GC: 1
  • Last week: #1

#2 Cincinnati Bearcats 10-0

  • 1 QW (#6 Notre Dame)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 5
  • GC: 11
  • Last week: #2

#3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 9-1

  • 2 QWs (#10 Baylor and Kansas State 7-3)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (Iowa State 6-4)
  • SOR: 6
  • GC: 8
  • Last week: #4

#4 Oregon Ducks 9-1

  • 1 QW (#7 Ohio State)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (Stanford 3-7)
  • SOR: 8
  • GC: 10
  • Last week: #5

#5 Alabama Crimson Tide 9-1

  • 1 QW (#11 Ole Miss)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#16 Texas A&M)
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 2
  • GC: 2
  • Last week: #7

#6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9-1

  • 1 QW (#17 Wisconsin)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#2 Cincinnati)
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 3
  • GC: 13
  • Last week: #8

#7 Ohio State Buckeyes 9-1

  • 0 QWs
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#4 Oregon)
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 9
  • GC: 4
  • Last week: #6

#8 Michigan State Spartans 9-1

  • 1 QW (#9 Michigan)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (Purdue 6-4)
  • SOR: 7
  • GC: 15
  • Last week: #9

#9 Michigan Wolverines 9-1

  • 1 QW (#17 Wisconsin)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#8 Michigan State)
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 4
  • GC: 3
  • Last week: #10

#10 Baylor Bears 8-2

  • 2 QWs (#12 Oklahoma and #13 BYU)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#3 Oklahoma State)
  • 1 Bad Loss (TCU 4-6)
  • SOR: 14
  • GC: 14
  • Last week: #13

#11 Ole Miss Rebels 8-2

  • 2 QWs (#15 Arkansas and #16 Texas A&M)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#5 Alabama)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Auburn 6-4)
  • SOR: 10
  • GC: 6
  • Last week: #15

#12 Oklahoma Sooners 9-1

  • 1 QW (Kansas State 7-3)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#10 Baylor)
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 12
  • GC: 30
  • Last week: #3

#13 BYU Cougars 8-2

  • 2 QWs (#22 Utah and Arizona State 7-3)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#10 Baylor)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Boise State 6-4)
  • SOR: 20
  • GC: 16
  • Last week: #14

#14 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 9-1

  • 1 QW (#23 NC State)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (UNC 5-5)
  • SOR: 13
  • GC: 5
  • Last week: #16

#15 Arkansas Razorbacks 7-3

  • 1 QW (#16 Texas A&M)
  • 2 Losses to top 35 teams (#1 Georgia and #11 Ole Miss)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Auburn 6-4)
  • SOR: 16
  • GC: 18
  • Last week: #20

#16 Texas A&M Aggies 7-3

  • 1 QW (#5 Alabama)
  • 2 Losses to top 35 teams (#11 Ole Miss and #15 Arkansas)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Mississippi State 6-4)
  • SOR: 25
  • GC: 28
  • Last week: #11

#17 Wisconsin Badgers 7-3

  • 1 QW (#19 Iowa)
  • 2 Losses to top 35 teams (#6 Notre Dame and #9 Michigan)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Penn State 6-4)
  • SOR: 23
  • GC: 7
  • Last week: #19

#18 Pittsburg Panthers 8-2

  • 1 QW (Clemson 7-3)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 2 Bad Losses (Western Michigan 6-4 and Miami 5-5)
  • SOR: 21
  • GC: 12
  • Last week: Unranked

#19 Iowa Hawkeyes 8-2

  • 0 QWs
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#17 Wisconsin)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Purdue)
  • SOR: 15
  • GC: 26
  • Last week: #12

#20 UTSA Roadrunners 10-0

  • 0 QWs
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 0 Bad Losses
  • SOR: 11
  • GC: 37
  • Last week: #22

#21 San Diego State Aztecs 9-1

  • 1 QW (#22 Utah)
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (Fresno State 8-3)
  • SOR: 18
  • GC: 47
  • Last week: Unranked

#22 Utah Utes 7-3

  • 1 QW (Arizona State 7-3)
  • 2 Losses to top 35 teams (#13 BYU and #21 San Diego State)
  • 1 Bad Loss (Oregon State 6-4)
  • SOR: 34
  • GC: 34
  • Last week: Unranked

#23 NC State Wolfpack 7-3

  • 1 QW (Clemson 7-3)
  • 1 Loss to top 35 team (#14 Wake Forest)
  • 2 Bad Losses (Mississippi State 6-4 and Miami 5-5)
  • SOR: 24
  • GC: 25
  • Last week: #23

#24 Houston Cougars 9-1

  • 0 QWs
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (Texas Tech 6-4)
  • SOR: 22
  • GC: 31
  • Last week: Unranked

#25 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 9-1

  • 0 QWs
  • 0 Losses to top 35 teams
  • 1 Bad Loss (Texas 4-6)
  • SOR: 17
  • GC: 53
  • Last week: Unranked

What’s Different?

  • Ohio State ended up dropping to #7 because both teams they had QWs against lost last week leaving them with zero. However, it’s not reason to worry because they will be on the move again next week with Michigan State traveling to the Horseshoe this Saturday. And to be quite honest you could take the teams ranked 4th though 9th and put them in any order (as long as Michigan State is above Michigan).
  • Baylor jumped 3 spots with their win over Oklahoma giving them 2 QWs.
  • Ole Miss jumped 4 spots with their win at home against Texas A&M also giving them 2 QWs.
  • Oklahoma was our biggest loser of the week dropping 9 spots after their loss to Baylor. Even though the Sooners are 9-1, they only have 1 QW and was close enough to drop them behind the team they just lost to, which the Committee seems unwilling to do (more on that later).
  • Arkansas jumped up 5 spots mainly because of the chaos at the bottom, but with both Texas A&M and Arkansas being 7-3, Arkansas gets the nod because of the head to head.
  • Iowa dropped 7 spots for the same reason Ohio State dropped, their QWs disappeared. However, unlike Ohio State, Iowa doesn’t have a very strong remaining schedule to make up much ground. They can however still win the Big Ten West division.
  • NC State is an interesting team. They lost last week to Wake Forest, however they didn’t move in the rankings. Which I think means they were correctly ranked last week. They played a higher ranked opponent, were not expected to win, didn’t win, therefore nothing really changes.

Welcome to the rankings

  • Pittsburg was right on the outside looking in last week. Their biggest issue was/still is their lack of QWs, but being 8-2 in a P5 conference is worthy of being in the top 25 currently.
  • San Diego State had a QW last week in Utah, but to be honest I didn’t realize Utah (or Arizona State) were 6-3 last week. So I had forgotten about them. Looking back at what last week looked like though I don’t think they would have been ranked regardless.
  • Utah (as mentioned above) was forgotten last week but didn’t have the resume either way. However this week they could make a big splash and move up, or they could fall out completely as they host Oregon this Saturday.
  • Houston and Louisiana are paired together because they are both 9-1 and have won 9 in a row. Both of their losses came in Week 1 and I think if they played again they could win both those games.

Compared to the CFP Committee

There is actually only one team difference between the two rankings, #25. I have Louisiana there and they have Mississippi State. While Mississippi State has beaten two teams that are currently ranked they have losses to Memphis (5-5), LSU (4-6), Alabama (9-1), and Arkansas (7-3). Where we are in the season I believe you have to win more than 60% of your games in order to be considered in the Top 25. The real head scratcher from the Committee is having Michigan above Michigan State when Michigan State has the head to head. They don’t do that Oregon/Ohio State, Cincinnati/Notre Dame, Baylor/Oklahoma, Wisconsin/Iowa, or San Diego State/Utah. In fact the only other example of teams having similar records and the loser of the head to head being ranked above the other is Texas A&M and Arkansas. However the most damning thing that was said by Gary Barta was this “Set aside watching the games, though thats certainly a part of it. But statistically and just about every category, offensively and defensively, Michigan comes out on top over Michigan State.” Let me repeat the worst part “Set aside watching the games”. How a statement like that doesn’t get you removed from your position I will never know.

Here is the Top 25 all together. Thanks for reading and as always let us know what you think in the comments!

  1. Georgia Bulldogs 10-0
  2. Cincinnati Bearcats 10-0
  3. Oklahoma State Cowboys 9-1
  4. Oregon Ducks 9-1
  5. Alabama Crimson Tide 9-1
  6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9-1
  7. Ohio State Buckeyes 9-1
  8. Michigan State Spartans 9-1
  9. Michigan Wolverines 9-1
  10. Baylor Bears 8-2
  11. Ole Miss Rebels 8-2
  12. Oklahoma Sooners 9-1
  13. BYU Cougars 8-2
  14. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 9-1
  15. Arkansas Razorbacks 7-3
  16. Texas A&M Aggies 7-3
  17. Wisconsin Badgers 7-3
  18. Pittsburgh Panthers 8-2
  19. Iowa Hawkeyes 8-2
  20. UTSA Roadrunners 10-0
  21. San Diego State Aztecs 9-1
  22. Utah Utes 7-3
  23. NC State Wolfpack 7-3
  24. Houston Cougars 9-1
  25. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 9-1

Hudson Senter

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s